Bad Year for the NYC Pension Funds - FY-2015 - Investment Fees and Performance

The Comptroller released the NYC FY-2015 Comprehensive Annual Financial Report (CAFR) on Friday, October 30, 2015. The following are some points from the press release:

The City pension systems earned $4.746 billion in net investment income in FY15 and paid benefits totaling $13.4 billion during FY15. Employer and employee contributions to the City pension systems were $10.0 billion and $1.8 billion, respectively;

The City pension systems paid investment expenses totaling $708.9 million in FY15, an increase over FY14 that primarily reflects increased assets under management and more comprehensive fee disclosure and reporting;

These numbers are accurate but they are presented in a deceptive way.

The five funds received $1.94B in interest payments and $2.66B in dividends during 2015. They also earned $73M in securities lending income. That adds up to $4.67B. It does not take much skill to collect interest and dividend payments. It definitely does not take $708.9M in fees, a $183.0M increase from last year.

Listed below are the fees (pension funds only) for the last 14 years. You can see from the numbers that the "increased assets under management" comment is not valid. Of course previous reported fees may be inaccurate but that's not what "more comprehensive" means. I have a strong feeling that the Comptroller's office is in shambles when it comes to accurate records of the payment of investment fees.

• Year: -- Fees ---- Assets
• 2015: $705.0M ($145.7B)
• 2014: $522.0M ($144.5B)
• 2013: $472.5M ($124.8B)
• 2012: $370.3M ($111.3B)
• 2011: $395.7M ($111.0B)
• 2010: $426.8M ($90.0B)
• 2009: $339.3M ($79.5B)
• 2008: $310.2M ($101.9B)
• 2007: $262.0M ($110.9B)
• 2006: $192.7M ($96.0B)
• 2005: $158.2M ($90.6B)
• 2004: $131.6M ($86.5B)
• 2003: $ 96.7M ($78.1B)
• 2002: $101.9M ($80.7B)

On July 30, 2015, P&I reported that the Comptroller estimated that the city pension funds had a 3.3% rate of return for FY-2015. Of that amount 3.1% is due to interest and dividends paid to the pension funds.

Based on the details in the CAFR, the total pension assets for the five funds increased only 0.198% in FY-2015. In addition, this miserable number is based on unreliable asset values for private equity, real estate, and hedge fund classes. Note that two of the funds have avoided getting sucked into the hedge fund swamp.

The opening balance for the city pension funds (no TDA and no VSF) was $144.5B. The closing balance was $145.7B. With a $0.9B positive cash flow you get a 0.198% increase in asset value.

The other bruising fact in the city's CAFR, along with the $183M increase in fees, is the $1.294B that was skimmed off from the TRS & BERS pension funds to the TRS & BERS TDA funds and the $672M that was skimmed off to the VSF funds.

In FY-2015, the S&P 500 index rose 5.2% (from 1960.23 to 2063.11). NYCERS reported a 1.88% net of fee return on its structured fixed income class (Treasures, Corporates, & Mortgage Backed Securities) with a benchmark of 2.08%. With the 70%/30% asset allocation that the funds are currently using, the projected increase in asset value for FY-2015 could easily have been 4.24%, not 0.198%. That would have been a $150.95B closing balance instead of $145.67B.

That is $5B in one year. This why investment decisions are so important. The state implements Tier 6 and the trustees blow it all on bad investments.

All five of the pension funds had a decease in their funding status in FY-2015. The levels weren't great to start with. Here is the bad news.

• NYCERS went from 75.32% to 73.13%.
• TRS went from 71.79% to 68.04%.
• BERS went from 78.60% to 75.33%.
• Police went from 74.44% to 73.85%.
• Fire went from 63.78% to 62.79%.

Here are the accounting numbers for the five city pension funds:

Money Coming In for FY-2015

(in millions)	Five Funds	NYCERS	TRS	BERS	Police	Fire
employee contributions	$1,015.0	$467.1	$158.6	$39.6	$241.1	$108.6
employer contributions	$9,986.8	$3,160.3	$3,270.0	$258.1	$2,309.6	$988.8
other contributions	$55.5		$55.5
interest	$1,939.5	$635.7	$758.5	$36.9	$392.8	$115.6
dividends	$2,661.8	$795.3	$889.2	$46.2	$703.7	$227.4
SL income	$72.5	$26.5	$20.3	$2.7	$18.0	$5.0
other	($64.9)	$4.1	$0.3	($115.1)	$4.6	$41.2
Cash-in	$15,666.2	$5,089.0	$5,152.4	$268.4	$3,669.8	$1,486.6

Money Going Out for FY-2015

(in millions)	Five Funds	NYCERS	TRS	BERS	Police	Fire
Benefits	$11,994.1	$4,235.6	$4,024.3	$223.2	$2,360.5	$1,150.5
Transfers from TRS & BERS to TDA	$1,294.0	$0.0	$1,249.0	$45.0	$0.0	$0.0
Payments to VSF *	$12.2	$11.9	$0.0	$0.0	$0.3	$0.0
Transfers (Pension to VSF) *	$660.0	$30.0	$0.0	$0.0	$590.0	$40.0
Investment expenses *	$705.0	$231.8	$203.0	$10.1	$192.1	$68.0
Admin expenses *	$141.9	$54.6	$58.4	$11.0	$17.9	$0.0
other	$7.1	$7.1	$0.0	$0.0	$0.0	$0.0
Cash-out *	$14,814.3	$4,571.5	$5,534.7	$289.3	$3,160.8	$1,258.5
*
Net Cash *	$851.9	$517.5	($382.3)	($20.9)	$509.0	$228.1

Closing Balances & Asset Increases for FY-2015

(in millions)	Five Funds	NYCERS	TRS	BERS	Police	Fire
Open Bal:	$144,538.0	$54,422.0	$44,490.0	$3,279.3	$31,750.9	$10,595.8
Close Bal	$145,674.8	$54,889.3	$44,254.7	$3,359.8	$32,356.0	$10,815.0
Net Change	$1,136.80	$467.30	($235.30)	$80.50	$605.10	$219.20
Cash Flow:	$851.9	$517.5	($382.3)	($20.9)	$509.0	$228.1
Open Bal Adj:	$144,538.0	$54,422.0	$44,107.7 $3	,258.4	$31,750.9	$10,595.8
Close Bal Adj:	$144,823.4	$54,371.8	$44,254.7	$3,359.8	$31,847.0	$10,586.9
Net Change Adj:	$285.4	($50.2)	$147.0	$101.4	$96.1	($8.9)
Rate of Asset Increase:	0.197%	-0.092%	0.333%	3.112%	0.303%	-0.084%