Wednesday, June 27, 2012

The New 7% Law - Pension Costs for the City

The legislature is looking at two pieces of proposed legislation dealing with the assumed rate of interest for the five city pension funds. The two pieces of legislation both incorporate the NYCERS & TRS actuary's recommendation for a new five year assumed interest rate dropping it from the current 8% to 7%.

The recommendation is three years late. The actuary has not written a fiscal note for either of the two bills. I suspect the actuary doesn't want to be on record describing the details of his own recommendations. Both bills are the same except for language dealing withh the FDNY VSF funds and possible funding shortfalls in those funds.

The actuary is appointed by the NYCERS trustees and the NYCTRS trustees. He is, however, paid directly by the city or in other words by the mayor. His annual salary is $250,000.

In the table below is the budget impact of the interest change. There are many other changes being implemented at the same time which I will outline below.

SystemCity AmountsAll MembersAll Retiree
FY-2012 & 8%FY-2012 & 7%FY_2013 & 7% June 30, 2010June 30, 2010
TRS: $2,564.4M$2,656.4M$2,755.0M 130,620 72,356
Police:$2,203.7M$2,432.7M$2,441.0M37,28144,634
NYCERS:$1,423.0M$1,569.M$1,618.5M213,255132,487
Fire:$948.7M$1,004.7M$1,005.4M 11,13617,140
BERS:$161.7M$213.7M$204.5M 27,18413,969
Contingency for 7%: $950.9M***********
City Totals$8,252.5M$7,876.6M$8,024.3M

Note: Only 55%, approximately, of the NYCERS members & retirees are city workers.

The impact of the interest rate change has obviously been blunted. But it is also clear from the chart that pension costs vary greatly over the work force. This in turn creates difficult management problems. I don't pretend to have solutions for them but they should not be hidden behind blanket characterizations.

As I previously noted, this legislation allows the city and the other participating employers to amortized investment expense costs rather than pay them two years later. This created a significant short term savings in pension costs starting in FY-2012, the year that the 7% rate becomes effective. Specifically, the savings for FY-2012 will be $493M and for FY-23 $453M.

In FY-1997 the pension funds started paying these investment expenses directly as opposed to the city paying them out of the Comptroller's operating budget. In 1999, legislation was passed requiring the city and the other employers to reimburse the pension funds the following year for these expenses plus one year's interest. This was done to separate long term liabilities from short term expenses. In 2006, legislation was passed to change the payment year from one to two years later plus interest.

The proposed legislation also has provisions to guarantee the VSF funds. Listed below is the wording for the Correction VSF at NYCERS. There comaparable sections for the two Police and the two Fire VSF funds. These provisions may or may not be necessary but they definitely have nothing to do with the assumed rate of interest for the pension funds.

§ 6. Subparagraph 3 of paragraph (e) of subdivision 4 of section 13-194 of the administrative code of the city of New York, as added by chapter 255 of the laws of 2000, is amended to read as follows:

(3) Except as otherwise provided in subdivision eleven of this section and in sections 13-195 and 13-195.1 of this chapter, nothing contained in this section shall create or impose any obligation on the part of the retirement system, or the funds or monies thereof, or authorize such funds or monies to be appropriated or used for any payment under this section or for any purpose thereof.

§ 7. Section 13-194 of the administrative code of the city of New York is amended by adding a new subdivision 11 to read as follows:

11. In the event that, for any calendar year covered by a payment guarantee, the assets of the variable supplements fund are not suffi- cient to pay benefits under this section for such year, an amount suffi- cient to pay such benefits shall be appropriated from the contingent reserve fund of the retirement system and transferred to the correction officers' variable supplements fund.

The mayor, in his FY-2013 budget presentation, stated the following recommendations from the actuary:

  1. Seven percent actuarial interest rate assumption (legislation)
  2. new life expectancy tables
  3. new experince relating to rates of retirement and disability
  4. a new funding method, Entry-Age Normal Cost Method (legislation)
  5. implementation of a market value restart
There was no mention of the delay in paying investment expenses or the mandated funding for shortages in the VSF funds. In addition the market value restart (taking immediate credit for the current recovery in the market) provides funding relief but is not sound actuarial practice.

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